Government intervention will cause more problems in the the real estate market, especially in commercial real estate. When the government steps in with more regulations and oversight, it impedes competition and growth.
Elizabeth Warren Warns About Commercial Real Estate Crisis
Even as the economy shows signs of recovery, a government watchdog is warning that another financial crisis is coming round the bend — and that the Treasury Department and financial regulators are not prepared to deal with it.
“There is a commercial real estate crisis on the horizon, and there are no easy solutions to the risks commercial real estate may pose to the financial system and the public,” says a report issued Thursday by the Congressional Oversight Panel, the bailout watchdog led by Harvard Law professor and middle-class advocate Elizabeth Warren.
“The Panel is concerned that until Treasury and bank supervisors take coordinated action to address forthrightly and transparently the state of the commercial real estate markets — and the potential impact that a breakdown in those markets could have on local communities, small businesses, and individuals — the financial crisis will not end.”
Over the next five years, about $1.4 trillion in commercial real estate loans will reach the end of their terms and require new financing. Nearly half are “underwater,” meaning the borrower owes more than the property is worth. Commercial property values have fallen more than 40 percent nationally since their 2007 peak. Vacancy rates are up and rents are down, further driving down the value of these properties.
When the reckoning comes, it could threaten everyone from banks and pension funds to renters and small businesses — and small banks could be particularly vulnerable.
Warren warned against government inaction. –more
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